Born To Run The Numbers

BTRTN: (By How Much) Will the Democrats Flip the House in the 2026 Midterms?

Tom focuses on the U.S. House in the latest in his ongoing series of articles on the midterms.

Feb 7 • Tom Gardner

4

December 2025

BTRTN: Our Annual Analytically-Based Major League Baseball Hall of Fame Predictions

We continue our brief detour from politics for our annual prediction of who will be elected to the MLB Hall of Fame in the BBWAA balloting, which is now…

Dec 13, 2025 • Tom Gardner

BTRTN: Considering the Baseball Hall of Fame "Contemporary Era" Ballot

We take a brief break from politics for a two-part detour into baseball.

Dec 5, 2025 • Tom Gardner

BTRTN: Tennessee’s 7th District Special Election – Heads the Dems Win, Tails the GOP Loses

Tom on tomorrow’s special election in Tennessee.

Dec 1, 2025 • Tom Gardner

1

November 2025

BTRTN: Can the Democrats Flip the Senate in the 2026 Midterms?

Tom focuses on the U.S.

Nov 30, 2025 • Tom Gardner

5

BTRTN: A 2025 Election Day Primer

Tom takes a look at the November 4, 2025 key elections, and the political context in which they will be held.

Nov 2, 2025 • Tom Gardner

3

May 2025

BTRTN: Swing District GOP Rep Mike Lawler (NY17) Bobs, Weaves and Dissembles at Raucous Town Hall

Tom on the representative’s wild event in Westchester County, New York.

May 5, 2025 • Tom Gardner

BTRTN: Trump at 100 Days – An Epic Case of Buyer’s Remorse

Tom on the first 100 days of the second Trump administration.

May 3, 2025 • Tom Gardner

November 2023

September 2023